East Coast Snowstorm Forecast Shows Three Possible Tracks, Bomb Cyclone Threat
Updated (23 articles)
Storm Development and Bomb‑Cyclone Potential Computer models indicate a low‑pressure system will form off the mid‑Atlantic on Sunday and could deepen rapidly enough to meet bomb‑cyclone criteria by Monday, signaling a potential for extreme wind and pressure drops [1]. Forecasters note that such rapid intensification is uncommon but plausible given the current sea‑surface temperatures and upper‑level jet dynamics [1]. The system’s evolution will be monitored closely as it approaches the coastline over the next 48 hours [1].
Track Uncertainty Drives Snowfall Severity A projected path deviation of 100–200 miles could shift the storm’s impact from a heavy nor’easter to a light‑snow event, making precise forecasts challenging days before formation [1]. Small changes in trajectory affect which regions receive the heaviest precipitation and strongest winds, especially along the coastal corridor [1]. Meteorologists stress the need for daily updates as the model ensemble narrows [1].
Scenario 1: Most Likely Glancing Blow The leading scenario predicts a peripheral strike delivering light to moderate snow from southern New England through the mid‑Atlantic, with Boston, New York City, Philadelphia and Washington, DC each expecting localized accumulations, gusty winds, and modest coastal flooding [1]. Travel disruptions are expected to remain limited, though airport delays and road slicks may occur [1]. Emergency managers are advised to prepare for brief interruptions rather than prolonged closures [1].
Scenarios 2 and 3: Less Likely Outcomes Scenario 2 envisions a major snowstorm from Washington to Boston, featuring heavy snowfall, strong winds, and heightened coastal flooding that could severely impede road and air travel from Sunday afternoon through Monday [1]. Scenario 3 places the system far offshore, limiting impacts to light snow confined to the interior Northeast and Great Lakes, with minimal coastal effects [1]. Historical comparison to a late‑January storm that remained offshore underscores the forecast’s inherent uncertainty [1].
Timeline
Dec 1, 2025 – A bomb cyclone forms over the East Coast and is expected to bring the first widespread snow to the Northeast on Tuesday, prompting winter alerts for nearly 70 million people. [8]
Jan 26, 2026 – AccuWeather warns that a new winter storm could intensify into a nor’easter, outlining two possible tracks that may deliver heavy snow from the Gulf Coast to New England, and the NWS issues an early warning. [11]
Jan 27, 2026 – Models show a low developing off the Carolinas on Friday that could undergo bombogenesis; forecasters present three scenarios and classify the system as a Miller Type‑A storm, likening it to the 1993 “Storm of the Century.” [18][23]
Jan 27, 2026 – The consensus forecast expects the system to become a classic nor’easter with northeast winds, and the NWS urges residents to stock extra food and supplies and stay tuned for updates. [7]
Jan 28, 2026 – The Weather Prediction Center notes strong model agreement for a coastal low forming Friday, emphasizing that frequent clashes between cold Canadian air and the warm Gulf Stream make the region a hotspot for bomb cyclones. [22]
Jan 29, 2026 – A rapidly intensifying low off the Carolina coast is projected to become a bomb cyclone, bringing 6‑12 inches of snow to coastal NC and VA and near‑hurricane‑force gusts, while a 100‑200‑mile shift in track could dramatically alter impacts. [6]
Jan 30, 2026 – Forecasts call for 5‑10 inches of snow across central NC to southern VA and wind gusts up to 75 mph near the coast, with more than 28 million people under winter‑storm watches as the region recovers from a deadly ice storm. [5]
Jan 30, 2026 – Over 230,000 customers lose power in Tennessee and Mississippi; Governor Josh Stein declares a North Carolina emergency ahead of heavy snow, and Myrtle Beach mayor Mark Kruea says the city will “use what we can find” to clear streets. [17]
Jan 31, 2026 – The bomb cyclone deepens off the Southeast, dumping up to 22.5 inches of snow in western North Carolina and generating winds over 50 mph, prompting statewide “stay‑home unless essential” orders. [3]
Jan 31, 2026 – The National Weather Service reports 240 million people under cold‑weather advisories as West Virginia records a low of –27 °F; Myrtle Beach braces for six inches of snow despite lacking plows, with Mayor Kruea repeating that the city will “use what we can find.” [13]
Jan 31, 2026 – Power outages affect more than 127,000 customers, mainly in Mississippi and Tennessee; Mississippi opens about 80 warming centers and deploys the National Guard, while Dr. David Nestler warns of heightened hypothermia risk. [13]
Feb 1, 2026 – The bomb cyclone intensifies off the East Coast, dropping over a foot of snow in Charlotte and meeting bomb‑cyclone criteria; AccuWeather meteorologist Brandon Buckingham calls it an “exceptionally powerful” storm. [9]
Feb 1, 2026 – An Arctic air surge pushes freezing temperatures to southern Florida for the first time since Dec 1989, and extreme‑cold warnings cover the entire Southeast. [9]
Feb 1, 2026 – The storm is linked to more than 100 deaths, about half in the Deep South, from hypothermia and suspected carbon‑monoxide poisoning; NWS meteorologist Bob Oravec notes Charlotte’s snowfall ranks among the city’s top‑five events. [10]
Feb 2, 2026 – Approximately 150 million Americans remain under cold‑weather advisories and extreme‑cold warnings, with wind chills near zero in the South; Weather Prediction Center meteorologist Peter Mullinax highlights the unprecedented chill. [12]
Feb 2, 2026 – Record snowfall accumulates in North Carolina—nearly a foot in Charlotte, 18 inches in James City and 17 inches in Swansboro—placing the event among the top‑five snowfalls for the region, according to the National Weather Service. [15]
Feb 2, 2026 – Flight cancellations top 2,800 on Saturday and 1,700 on Sunday, with Charlotte Douglas International Airport losing more than 800 flights each day; the DOT mandates refunds for all canceled flights. [14][19]
Feb 2, 2026 – Tens of thousands of customers in Tennessee and Mississippi still lack power; Nashville Electric Service pledges 90 % restoration by Tuesday and 99 % by the following Sunday. [12][15]
Feb 2, 2026 – Florida experiences snow flurries and frozen iguanas, prompting the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission to issue an executive order allowing humane removal of cold‑stunned iguanas without permits. [1][20]
Feb 19, 2026 – Models forecast a low forming off the mid‑Atlantic on Sunday that could become a bomb cyclone by Monday; three scenarios range from a light‑snow glancing blow to a major snowstorm with coastal flooding from Washington to Boston. [2]
Feb 19, 2026 – Residents from Georgia to New England are urged to monitor updates, secure property, and prepare for hazardous travel, power outages and possible flooding as the potential bomb cyclone develops. [2]
Dive deeper (5 sub-stories)
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East Coast Storm May Become Bomb Cyclone, Forecasts Show Three Possible Paths
(4 articles)
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Bomb Cyclone Delivers Record Snow, Massive Flight Cancellations and Widespread Power Outages Across the Carolinas
(16 articles)
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King5 (Seattle, WA): Bomb Cyclone Brings Snow, Flight Cancellations and Frozen Iguanas Across the Southeast
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AP: East Coast braces for heavy snow and near‑hurricane‑force winds
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Tens of thousands still without power as Carolinas and Virginia brace for winter storm
All related articles (23 articles)
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CNN: East Coast Snowstorm Forecast Remains Uncertain, Three Scenarios Outlined
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BBC: North Carolina Hit by Historic Bomb Cyclone Snowstorm
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Bomb cyclone triggers massive flight cancellations and travel disruptions
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King5 (Seattle, WA): Bomb cyclone forces thousands of flight cancellations across the U.S.
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AP: 150 Million U.S. Residents Under Cold‑Weather Advisories as Bomb Cyclone Aftermath Lingers
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Bomb Cyclone Sparks Record Snow, Power Outages and Even Frozen Iguanas Across the U.S.
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King5 (Seattle, WA): Bomb Cyclone Brings Snow, Flight Cancellations and Frozen Iguanas Across the Southeast
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CNN: Historic bomb cyclone slams Southeast with record snow, wind and power outages
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Newsweek: Bomb Cyclone Hits East Coast, Drives Arctic Air to Florida
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Newsweek: Carolinas Hit by Bomb Cyclone Snowstorm, Power Outages and Fatalities Surge
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Snow‑laden Carolinas and widening power‑outage crisis
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King5 (Seattle, WA): Snow‑Heavy Bomb Cyclone Slams Carolinas, Extends Frigid Outbreak Down East
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AP: East Coast braces for heavy snow and near‑hurricane‑force winds
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CNN: Bomb Cyclone Set to Hit Southeast and Mid‑Atlantic with Snow and Strong Winds
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Tens of thousands still without power as Carolinas and Virginia brace for winter storm
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CNN: Bomb Cyclone Brings Snow, Hurricane‑Force Winds and Flood Threat to Southeast
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CNN: Bomb cyclone set to unleash snow, wind and coastal flooding from the Southeast to the Northeast
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CNN: East Coast Bomb Cyclone Forecast Shows Multiple Scenarios for Weekend Storm
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King5 (Seattle, WA): East Coast Braces for Possible Bomb Cyclone This Weekend
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WBNS (Columbus, OH): Possible Nor’easter Threatening East Coast This Weekend
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King5 (Seattle, WA): Possible Nor’easter Threatening East Coast This Weekend
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Newsweek: New Winter Storm May Intensify Into Nor'easter Across Eastern U.S.
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CNN: Bomb cyclone brings first widespread snow to the Northeast on Tuesday
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