Nov 5, 2024 – The 2024 presidential election delivers “the ultimate poll,” with nearly 80 million Americans electing Donald Trump, a result the White House repeatedly cites to deflect current approval concerns [3][6][7].

May 2025 – Trump’s administration launches a foreign‑policy surge, including bombing Iran’s nuclear sites in support of Israel, marking the start of a sharp decline in his approval that falls from 55.5 % at the start of the term to a historic low by early 2026 [6].

April 2025 – “Very confident” Trump voters drop from 74 % to 69 % by August, signaling early erosion of base enthusiasm [1].

Feb 13‑17, 2025 – A CNN/SSRS poll finds Trump at 47 % approval overall and 45 % among voters earning under $50 K, the first indication of growing disapproval among low‑income voters [3].

August 2025 – Pew Research records a record low net approval of ‑20 points, the deepest negative rating of Trump’s second term to date [8].

Sep 2025 – Pew’s follow‑up shows Trump’s overall approval slipping to 40 %, confirming a steady downward trend through the year [8].

Dec 15‑19, 2025 – AtlasIntel reports a net‑20 rating (39.3 % approve, 59.6 % disapprove), a slide from the November net‑15, underscoring mounting vulnerability ahead of the 2026 midterms [18].

Dec 20, 2025 – InsiderAdvantage posts a +8.4 net approval (49.5 % approve, 41.1 % disapprove), the firm’s strongest showing since August, but notes a high share of undecided independents [17].

Dec 10‑18, 2025 – RMG Research finds Trump at 50 % approval, his highest level in a month, though strong disapproval (38 % vs 27 % strong approval) remains [19].

Dec 22, 2025 – Rasmussen Reports’ daily index records a –10 net approval, reversing a brief rebound and highlighting volatility in public sentiment [16].

Dec 25, 2025 – Nate Silver’s aggregate places Trump at a –12.5 net rating, close to the second‑term low of –15 recorded in November [15].

Dec 30, 2025 – The Harvard Youth Poll shows 62 % of Gen Z men disapprove of Trump, while the GenForward survey records only 34 % approval among men 18‑42, signaling a retreat among a demographic he once won in 2024 [14].

Jan 4‑5, 2026 – Reuters/Ipsos reports a 42 % approval rating, the first uptick since October and the highest in months, coinciding with diplomatic moves on Venezuela [13].

Jan 8‑12, 2026 – YouGov/Yahoo’s survey shows a net‑20 approval rating, the lowest of any Trump term at this stage, according to CNN analyst Harry Enten [13].

Jan 9‑12, 2026 – Economist/YouGov finds low‑income approval at 36 % (net ‑18), reflecting volatility in the working‑class electorate [12].

Jan 12‑13, 2026 – Marist Poll records 37 % approval of Trump’s foreign‑policy handling, a net‑19 rating, the worst since his second term began [11].

Jan 16‑20, 2026 – CNN/SSRS polls 2,496 adults, showing independent approval at a record low of 26 % and overall approval at 36 %, prompting calls for the president to address the economy in the upcoming State of the Union [4][5].

Jan 20‑22, 2026 – Marist and Economist/YouGov polls place overall approval near 38‑40 % with strong disapproval among Gen Z (net ‑32), while the White House again frames the November 2024 election as the “mandate” [10][11].

Jan 22, 2026 – ARG poll registers Trump at 35 % approval (net ‑28), the lowest ARG reading since his return, and notes only 32 % approve of his economic handling [9].

Feb 5‑8, 2026 – AP‑NORC AmeriSpeak poll records a net‑26 approval rating (‑26 net), the deepest negative score for any president at this point in a second term [7].

Feb 6‑12, 2026 – TechnoMetrica’s Wisconsin poll shows a net‑15 rating (39 % approve), highlighting the battleground state’s growing opposition [5].

Feb 16‑18, 2026 – Public Polling Project finds 42.4 % approve and 54.6 % disapprove (net ‑12.2), confirming a nationwide underwater standing [5].

Feb 17‑18, 2026 – InsiderAdvantage reports a bullish 50 % approval (net +4) among likely voters, but analysts warn a “house effects adjustment” would still place Trump underwater [5][7].

Feb 20, 2026 – Big Data poll of 2,012 registered voters shows 42.4 % approval, the lowest of his second term, with 43 % strongly disapproving [6].

Feb 21, 2026 – The New York Times polling average puts Trump at 41 % approval, while a Wisconsin swing‑state poll records a net‑15 rating, underscoring regional disparities [5].

Feb 23, 2026 – CNN releases a poll confirming independent approval at 26 % (record low) and overall approval at 36 %, with 57 % demanding the economy be addressed in the State of the Union scheduled for Tuesday [4].

Feb 24, 2026 – CNN/SSRS poll of 2,496 adults (Feb 17‑20) shows national approval at 36 % versus 48 % a year earlier, and only 32 % say Trump has the “right priorities,” intensifying pressure ahead of the State of the Union [4][3].

Feb 27, 2026 – President Trump delivers the State of the Union, having earlier boasted on Truth Social of a “record stock market” and “great tariffs,” predicting the Dow will hit 100,000 by the end of his term [4].

2026 midterm elections (Nov 2026) – Analysts repeatedly warn that Trump’s underwater approval, especially among independents, working‑class voters, and young adults, could jeopardize the GOP’s narrow congressional majorities in the upcoming midterms [8][10][12][15][20].