2024 – Crockett makes a controversial remark describing a “slave mentality” among some Latino Trump supporters, drawing criticism and prompting comedians on the “Las Culturistas” podcast to urge listeners not to donate to her before later apologizing [1].

Summer 2025 – Texas conducts a mid‑decade redistricting that reshapes congressional maps, energizing Democrats and reshuffling potential Senate contenders [3].

July 2025 – An NRSC poll of likely Democratic voters shows Jasmine Crockett leading with 35% support, ahead of Colin Allred, Beto O’Rourke, and Joaquín Castro [7].

September 2025 – State Rep. James Talarico enters the Democratic Senate primary, quickly raising about $6.3 million and assembling roughly 10,000 volunteers [9].

Dec 7, 2025 – Crockett prepares two cashier’s checks—one for a House reelection filing and one for a Senate filing—indicating a last‑minute decision on her political future [4].

Dec 8, 2025 – Jasmine Crockett files paperwork to run for the U.S. Senate, officially launching her campaign hours before the filing deadline [6][9].

Dec 8, 2025 – Former Rep. Colin Allred withdraws from the Senate race and announces a bid for the newly drawn Texas 33rd Congressional District [7].

Dec 8, 2025 – Change Research poll finds 84% name recognition for Crockett among Texas Democrats, but 49% say they would definitely not vote for her; a UH‑TSU poll places her at 31% in a three‑way primary [6].

Jan 24, 2026 – The first Democratic Senate debate occurs at the Texas AFL‑CIO convention; Crockett promotes a “viral, confrontational” style while Talarico stresses unity and faith‑based outreach [2].

Jan 24, 2026 – Both candidates condemn the recent Minneapolis ICE shooting and call for “cleaning house” at ICE, with Talarico advocating returning ICE funds to communities [8].

Jan 24, 2026 – Crockett asserts there is “more than enough to impeach Donald Trump,” citing his tariff use as an impeachable offense [8].

Jan 25, 2026 – Crockett attacks Talarico for leaving the 2021 Texas legislative walkout, questioning his willingness to confront Republican opposition [5].

Jan 25, 2026 – An Emerson poll shows Talarico ahead by nine points (47%‑38%), while a December Barbara Jordan poll shows Crockett ahead by eight points (51%‑43%) [5].

Jan 25, 2026 – Crockett votes against additional DHS funding that would boost ICE, pledging to “shut it down” and prioritize constituents on the ground [5].

Early 2026 – Talarico’s viral appearance on Stephen Colbert’s show generates $2.5 million in donations within 24 hours, widening his fundraising advantage [1].

Feb 23, 2026 – Crockett rejects the traditional campaign playbook, telling faith leaders she “doesn’t really subscribe” to it and promising to “kick some a**” while courting low‑propensity voters at bars, concerts and flea markets [1].

Feb 23, 2026 – A University of Houston poll of likely Democratic primary voters finds Crockett ahead of Talarico by eight points, despite her lower ad presence [1].

Feb 23, 2026 – Fundraising gap widens as Talarico has raised over $20 million since September, while Crockett has collected $3.7 million since December and transferred $4.8 million from her House account [1].

Mar 3, 2026 – Texas Democratic primary election takes place; if no candidate reaches 50%, a runoff is scheduled for May 2026 [3][6].

Mar 3, 2026 – Republican primary featuring incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, Attorney General Ken Paxton, and Rep. Wesley Hunt decides the GOP nominee who will face the Democratic winner in November [3].

Nov 2026 – General election pits the Democratic nominee against the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate seat, a contest Democrats view as pivotal for gaining control of the Senate [3][9].

Historical context – Democrats have not won a statewide Texas election in over three decades, with the last victory in 1994 and the closest recent race in 2018 when Beto O’Rourke lost by three points [9].