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India Halts Russian Oil Imports, Cuts U.S. Tariffs and Promises $500 Billion Investment

Updated (3 articles)
  • According to Trump, India has agreed to purchase over $500bn worth of US goods.
    Image: BBC
    According to Trump, India has agreed to purchase over $500bn worth of US goods. (Getty Images) Source Full size

Feb 2‑3 2026 US‑India Trade Deal Rewrites Tariff Landscape On February 2‑3 2026 President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a bilateral trade agreement that ends India’s purchases of Russian crude and commits India to buy more oil from the United States, with possible supplemental imports from Venezuela [1][2][3]. The announcement was made via Trump’s Truth Social post and Modi’s X message, and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed the details on February 3 2026 [1][2]. Both leaders described the pact as a personal‑rapport‑driven win for jobs and global stability.

U.S. Tariff on Indian Goods Slashed to 18 Percent The United States reduced its tariff on “Made in India” goods from a peak of 50 percent (including a 25 percent penalty linked to Russian oil purchases) to a uniform 18 percent rate, as outlined in the Trump announcement and the BBC report [2][3]. The new 18 percent levy replaces the August 2025 punitive tariff and applies across sectors such as energy, technology and agriculture [2][3]. Small‑business groups in the United States warned that the 18 percent rate remains six times higher than the pre‑Trump average of 2.5 percent [2].

India Eliminates Tariffs on U.S. Products, Targets Zero Barriers India agreed to eliminate all tariffs and non‑tariff barriers on U.S. imports, moving toward a zero‑percent level that mirrors the reciprocal reduction promised by Trump [1][3]. This reciprocal move contrasts with the 18 percent U.S. tariff on Indian goods, creating an asymmetrical but mutually beneficial tariff structure [1][2][3]. The Hindu’s February 4 report notes that the U.S. previously imposed a 50 percent overall tariff on India, which the new deal fully reverses [1].

$500 Billion Investment Pledge Spans Energy, Transport, Agriculture Modi pledged to channel $500 billion into U.S. markets, covering transportation, energy, agricultural and coal products, and potentially expanding to critical minerals [1][2]. The investment commitment was highlighted by Leavitt as a cornerstone of the agreement and is expected to generate jobs on both sides of the Pacific [1]. The pledge also aligns with Jaishankar’s February 2‑4 Washington visit for a Critical Minerals Ministerial, underscoring supply‑chain cooperation beyond tariffs [3].

Political Reactions Highlight Opposition and Parallel Trade Initiatives India’s opposition party criticised the deal as a capitulation, with Congress official Jairam Ramesh calling it a surrender of strategic interests [3]. Meanwhile, the European Union signed its own free‑trade pact with India a week earlier, a deal the EU calls “the mother of all deals” and projected to double EU exports to India by 2032 [2]. U.S. small‑business coalition “We Pay the Tariffs” labeled the 18 percent rate a tax hike, reflecting domestic dissent despite the bilateral leadership’s optimism [2].

Sources

Timeline

Aug 2025 – The United States imposes a 50 % tariff on Indian goods, including a 25 % penalty tied to India’s purchases of Russian oil, sharply reducing Indian exports to the U.S. [1][3]

Early Jan 2026 – The European Union and India sign a free‑trade agreement projected to double EU exports to India by 2032, which EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen dubs “the mother of all deals.” [1]

Feb 2, 2026 – External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar lands in Washington for a three‑day visit that includes the Critical Minerals Ministerial chaired by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, where participants aim to draft a non‑binding document on supply‑chain resilience. [3]

Feb 2, 2026 – Prime Minister Narendra Modi announces on X that the United States will apply an 18 % tariff to “Made in India” products, replacing the 50 % penalty tariffs imposed in August 2025, and thanks President Trump on behalf of 1.4 billion Indians. [3]

Feb 2, 2026 – President Donald Trump posts on Truth Social that the U.S. tariff on Indian imports drops from 25 % to 18 %, India will eliminate all tariffs and non‑tariff barriers on U.S. goods, cease Russian oil purchases, boost U.S. oil imports (including possible Venezuelan supplies), and commit to $500 billion of U.S. imports. [1][3]

Feb 2, 2026 – A coalition of 800 U.S. small‑business owners warns that the new 18 % tariff remains six times higher than the pre‑Trump average of 2.5 %, calling the deal a “tax hike.” [1]

Feb 2, 2026 – Congress party general secretary Jairam Ramesh criticizes Modi’s concession, saying “It appears Mr. Modi has capitulated finally,” reflecting domestic political opposition. [3]

Feb 3, 2026 – White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirms India’s commitment to stop buying Russian oil, shift to U.S. supplies (and possibly Venezuela), and invest $500 billion in the United States across transportation, energy, and agriculture. [2]

Feb 3, 2026 – Leavitt notes that the U.S. tariff on Indian goods falls to 18 % while U.S. exports to India enjoy a zero‑percent tariff, and India pledges to remove all tariffs and non‑tariff barriers on U.S. products, completing the reciprocal reduction. [2]

Feb 3, 2026 – President Trump and Prime Minister Modi describe their partnership as “great” and “getting things done,” emphasizing that the agreement will create jobs, boost businesses, and enhance global stability. [2]

Feb 4, 2026 (expected) – The Critical Minerals Ministerial is slated to sign a non‑binding document on supply‑chain cooperation and clean‑energy transition before Jaishankar departs Washington, cementing the U.S.–India strategic partnership. [3]