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Crockett‑Talarico Face‑Off in Texas Democratic Senate Primary as Polls Flip

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Crockett and Talarico Remain Only Democratic Contenders for 2026 Senate Rep. Jasmine Crockett and former state Rep. James Talarico are the sole Democrats on the ballot for the March 3 primary, a race in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in over three decades [1][2][3]. The first Democratic Senate debate was staged on Jan 24‑25 at the Texas AFL‑CIO convention, drawing hundreds of union members and signaling the start of a high‑stakes contest [2][3]. Both candidates framed the contest as a chance to flip a seat that has eluded Democrats for 30 years.

Debate Highlighted Divergent Campaign Tones and Voter‑Outreach Strategies Crockett presented a “viral, confrontational” style, emphasizing her civil‑rights lawyer background and targeting disaffected Black voters in Dallas [2][3]. Talarico adopted a softer, faith‑based narrative, citing his Presbyterian seminary training and aiming to attract rural voters dissatisfied with Republicans [2][3]. The contrast underscored distinct outreach plans despite shared policy positions on economics and health care.

Both Candidates Condemn ICE While Proposing Different Reform Paths In response to the Minneapolis border‑agent shooting, each denounced ICE as a “rogue organization” and called for “cleaning house” [2][3]. Crockett pledged to overhaul the agency without detailing funding mechanisms, whereas Talarico advocated withdrawing ICE money and reinvesting it in community programs [2][3]. Their statements drew criticism from Republican officials who accused them of seeking to abolish ICE [3].

Crockett Pushes Impeachment, Medicare for All, and Aggressive Policy Agenda Crockett argued there is “more than enough to impeach Donald Trump,” citing unlawful tariff use, and vowed to pursue impeachment if Democrats control the House [2][3]. She also backs Medicare for all, higher taxes on the wealthy, ending tariffs, and stricter gun‑safety laws, drawing on her civil‑rights and rural East Texas roots [1][2]. Talarico, while supporting higher taxes and tariff removal, stopped short of calling for Trump’s impeachment and highlighted universal basic income pilots [2].

Polls Show a Volatile Race With Leads Swapping Between Candidates An Emerson poll released early January gave Talarico a 9‑point advantage (47 % to 38 %), while a December Barbara Jordan Center survey showed Crockett ahead by 8 points (51 % to 43 %) [1]. The divergent results illustrate a tightly contested primary that could shift as the campaign intensifies.

Primary Winner Will Face Strong Republican Field in November The Democratic victor will meet the Republican nominee—likely incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, Rep. Wesley Hunt, or Attorney General Ken Paxton—in the November general election, setting up a pivotal showdown in a heavily Republican state [2][3].

Sources

Timeline

Dec 7, 2025 – Jasmine Crockett prepares two cashier’s checks for simultaneous filing decisions, signaling a last‑minute choice between a House reelection and a Senate run; she meets with Rep. Colin Allred, Rep. Marc Veasey and activist Stacey Abrams while a University of Houston‑Texas Southern poll of ~600 voters shows her potentially leading a four‑way primary[3].

Dec 8, 2025 – Former Rep. Colin Allred announces he is abandoning his Senate campaign to run in the newly drawn TX‑33 congressional district, warning that a bruising Democratic primary would “prevent the party from uniting for the 2026 election”[6].

Dec 8, 2025 – Jasmine Crockett files paperwork just before the filing deadline, officially entering the Texas Democratic Senate primary and withdrawing from her 30th‑district House seat; a Change Research poll finds 84 % name recognition among Texas Democrats but 49 % say they would “definitely not vote for Crockett”[5].

Dec 8, 2025 – At a Dallas rally, Crockett declares, “I’m coming for you,” directly challenging former President Donald Trump and offering to take an IQ test after he called her a “low IQ person”; she frames the race as a chance to flip a Senate seat Democrats haven’t won since 1994 and cites the 2018 Beto O’Rourke‑Ted Cruz margin as a near‑miss[8].

Jan 24, 2026 – The inaugural Texas Democratic Senate debate takes place at the Texas AFL‑CIO convention, where Crockett and state Rep. James Talarico spar over style and substance; Crockett asserts there is “more than enough to impeach Donald Trump” and vows to “clean house” at ICE, while Talarico calls for tearing down the “secret police force” and reinvesting ICE funds in communities[1][7].

Jan 25, 2026 – Crockett launches her Senate campaign with a rally that emphasizes breaking a three‑decade Democratic drought, attacks Talarico’s 2021 legislative walkout (“one of those people who chose not to continue fighting”), and highlights a platform of wage growth, gun‑safety measures, and shutting down DHS/ICE funding; she notes an Emerson poll giving Talarico a 9‑point lead and a Barbara Jordan Center poll showing her ahead by 8 points, underscoring a volatile race[4].

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