Trump’s Overall Approval Falls to 45% in January Poll Amid Midterm Build‑Up
Updated (5 articles)
January Harvard CAPS/Harris Survey Highlights Declining Support The online poll of 2,000 registered voters conducted Jan 28‑29 2026 shows Trump’s overall job approval at 45%, a two‑point drop from December’s 47% [1]. Immigration policy approval fell to 46% from 49% in December, continuing a slide that began in early 2025 [1]. Economic approval slipped to 43%, down from a February 2025 high of 49%, while foreign‑affairs approval fell to 42% from 45% in December [1].
Issue Ratings Hit New Lows Amid Inflation and Economic Anxiety Voters expressed heightened concern over inflation and a shrinking economy, driving the economy rating to its lowest point since early 2025 [1]. Foreign‑affairs approval also reached a new low, reflecting broader unease about the administration’s global posture [1]. The poll’s ±2‑point margin of error underscores a gradual erosion of multi‑issue support throughout the past year [1].
Public Still Credits Trump for Economic Conditions Despite low issue ratings, 63% of respondents attribute the current state of the economy to Trump, an 11‑point rise from the previous survey [1]. This contrast highlights a disconnect between perceived policy performance and partisan credit‑taking [1]. The increase suggests that economic attribution remains a potent political asset for the president heading into the 2026 midterms [1].
ICE Protest Handling Receives Modest Majority Backing narrow 51% of voters approve of Trump’s response to ICE protests in Minneapolis [1]. However, 57% say ICE has “gone too far,” 55% disapprove of city enforcement, 86% demand body‑camera use, and 80% want agents to show identification during operations [1]. These figures illustrate continued public skepticism toward immigration enforcement tactics despite slight approval of the president’s protest response [1].
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Timeline
Early 2025 – Trump’s multi‑issue approval slides from the mid‑50s, beginning a gradual erosion across immigration, the economy and foreign affairs [1].
Feb 2025 – Economy approval peaks at 49% in a Harvard CAPS/Harris poll, the highest level since his first term [1].
Mar 2025 – Overall presidential approval hovers around 40% as Trump starts his second term; immigration approval sits at 49% and 88% of Republicans back his immigration stance [4]; [3].
Mar 2025 – Republican approval of Trump’s economic performance stands at 78%, while overall AP‑NORC economy approval is 40% [5].
Nov 30, 2025 – Gallup poll records Trump’s approval at a second‑term low of 36% with 60% disapproval; the MAGA coalition shrinks and Hispanic favorability falls to 25% [2].
Dec 11, 2025 – AP‑NORC poll finds economy approval at a historic low of 31%, immigration approval at 38%, overall approval at 36%, and Republican economy approval dropping to 69% [5].
Jan 1, 2026 (effective) – Federal health‑care subsidies for over 20 million Americans expire, raising out‑of‑pocket costs and shaping voter sentiment on the economy [3].
Jan 8‑11, 2026 – AP‑NORC poll shows Trump’s overall approval steadies near 40%; economy approval rises to 37% and immigration approval falls to 38%; foreign‑policy disapproval sits at ~60%; Trump claims “the Trump economic boom has officially begun” [4].
Mid‑Jan 2026 – The death of immigration activist Renee Good occurs, adding a somber note to the immigration debate [4].
Jan 16, 2026 – AP‑NORC poll reveals Republicans still give Trump an 80% job‑approval rating, but GOP immigration approval drops to 76% from 88% in March; health‑care subsidy loss and a Minneapolis shooting fuel mixed views on enforcement [3].
Feb 3, 2026 – Harvard CAPS/Harris poll reports overall job approval at 45% in January, immigration approval at 46%, economy approval at 43% (down from Feb 2025 high), foreign‑affairs approval at 42%, and 63% of respondents credit Trump for the economy, underscoring continued but modest erosion as the 2026 midterms loom [1].
Fall 2026 (midterm season) – Shifting approvals set the stage for competitive races, including Tennessee’s 7th District, which polls as a statistical tie that could flip a historically red seat [2].
All related articles (5 articles)
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Newsweek: Trump’s approval slips on every major issue, poll shows
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AP: AP-NORC poll: Republicans stay loyal to Trump on immigration as economy underperforms
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AP: AP-NORC poll shows Trump’s approval steady as economy and immigration shape views
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AP: Trump’s economic approval hits lowest level in AP‑NORC polls
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Newsweek: Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges to a Second‑Term Low Amid Growing GOP Fragmentation
External resources (9 links)
- https://apnorc.org/ (cited 3 times)
- https://apnorc.org/biden-approval-hits-new-low-at-one-year-mark-ap-norc-poll/ (cited 1 times)
- https://apnorc.org/projects/about-half-of-the-public-believe-the-number-of-legal-immigrants-to-the-u-s-should-remain-the-same/ (cited 1 times)
- https://apnorc.org/projects/bipartisan-dissatisfaction-with-the-direction-of-the-country-and-the-economy/ (cited 1 times)
- https://apnorc.org/projects/fewer-want-the-u-s-to-take-an-active-role-in-global-affairs/ (cited 1 times)
- https://apnorc.org/projects/pessimism-about-the-direction-of-the-country-is-growing-among-republicans/?doing_wp_cron=1765394622.9358189105987548828125 (cited 1 times)
- https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/spotlights/2025/trump-the-america-first-candidate-has-a-new-preoccupation-imperialism/ (cited 1 times)