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Senate Democrats Block DHS Funding After Minneapolis Shooting, Raising Shutdown Risk

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Schumer Announces Democratic Block on DHS Funding Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer posted on X that Senate Democrats will refuse to vote for any spending package containing Department of Homeland Security money, calling the Minneapolis shooting “appalling” and the bill “woefully inadequate” to curb ICE abuses[1][2][3]. His statement signals a partisan deadlock that could trigger a partial government shutdown when current DHS funding expires on Jan 30. The move forces Senate leaders to seek a compromise or risk a lapse in funding.

Minneapolis Shooting Amplifies ICE Funding Debate Federal immigration officers shot and killed 37‑year‑old Alex Pretti in Minneapolis, marking the second fatal encounter involving federal agents in the city this month after the Jan 7 death of Renee Nicole Good[1][2][3]. DHS described the incident as a “targeted operation” in which the suspect approached officers with a 9 mm handgun, resisted disarmament, and was shot in self‑defense. The shooting has become a flashpoint in the broader debate over ICE’s role and DHS spending.

House Passes DHS Bill but Senate Stalemate Looms The House approved the DHS appropriations measure 220‑207, with seven Democrats joining Republicans, allocating roughly $10 billion for ICE within a $64.4 billion DHS budget[1]. Passage now hinges on the Senate, which requires 60 votes to advance the measure; Republicans hold only 53 seats, making Democratic support essential. Without a bipartisan deal, the funding package could stall and precipitate a shutdown.

Shutdown Odds Surge After Shooting Betting markets responded sharply, with Polymarket odds for a shutdown climbing from 8 percent to about 75 percent and Kalshi showing a similar spike, indicating a roughly 77 percent probability of a shutdown[1]. A failure to approve a new DHS spending package could trigger a partial shutdown as early as Jan 31 if the Senate does not act before the Jan 30 deadline. The heightened market expectations reflect growing uncertainty over the legislative outcome.

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Timeline

Jan 7, 2026 – Federal immigration officers kill 37‑year‑old Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis, the first fatal encounter involving federal agents in the city that month and a flashpoint in the debate over ICE actions. [1]

Jan 24, 2026 (approx.) – The House passes the DHS appropriations bill 220‑207, with seven Democrats joining Republicans, earmarking about $10 billion for ICE within a $64.4 billion DHS budget and sending the measure to the Senate. [1]

Jan 25, 2026 – Federal officers shoot and kill 37‑year‑old Alex Pretti in a “targeted operation” in Minneapolis after he allegedly points a 9 mm handgun at Border Patrol agents; DHS frames the incident as self‑defense. [1]

Jan 25, 2026 – Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer posts on X that the Minneapolis shooting is “appalling” and calls the DHS funding bill “woefully inadequate,” vowing Democrats will block any spending package that includes DHS money. [1][2][3]

Jan 25, 2026 – Senators Catherine Cortez Masto, Jacky Rosen and Brian Schatz announce they will vote against the DHS funding component, joining Schumer’s opposition and further eroding Democratic support. [2][3]

Jan 25, 2026 – Betting markets surge, with Polymarket’s shutdown probability climbing from 8 % to roughly 77 % and Kalshi showing a comparable spike, signaling market expectations of a legislative impasse. [1]

Jan 30, 2026 – Current DHS funding expires, creating a deadline that could trigger a partial government shutdown if the Senate fails to approve a new appropriations package. [1][2][3]

Jan 31, 2026 – A partial shutdown could begin as early as this date unless Senate Democrats relent or a bipartisan compromise secures the 60 votes needed to advance the DHS bill. [1]

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