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Ukraine Gains 201 sq km in Five‑Day Push as Geneva Talks Loom

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  • In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026.
    In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026.
    Image: Newsweek
    In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026. Source Full size
  • In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026.
    In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026.
    Image: Newsweek
    In this photo provided by Ukraine’s 65th Mechanized Brigade press service, soldiers fire an anti-tank missile system during a drill close to the frontline on the site of heavy battles with the Russian troops in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2026. Source Full size

Rapid Five‑Day Territorial Gains Ukraine retook 201 sq km of land from Russian forces between Feb 11 and Feb 15, the fastest advance in 2½ years according to the Institute for the Study of War [1]. The gain represents the first rapid Ukrainian expansion since mid‑2023, when Russian forces had previously seized roughly 27 % of Ukraine’s territory after the 2022 invasion [1]. ISW calculations show the counteroffensive has now pushed Russian‑held land below 18 % of Ukraine’s total area [1].

Starlink Restrictions Aid Ukrainian Operations Elon Musk announced restrictions on “unauthorized use” of SpaceX’s Starlink by Russian forces in early February, cutting Russian battlefield communications [1]. Ukrainian officials credited the loss of Russian access to high‑speed internet with contributing to the recent advances around Zaporizhzhia [1]. Analysts cited the Starlink curtailment as a factor that helped Ukraine achieve the five‑day surge [1].

Russia Fires Massive Drone‑Missile Barrage In the days preceding the Geneva summit, Moscow launched roughly 400 drones and 29 missiles against energy and military‑industrial targets across twelve Russian regions [1]. The attacks injured nine people, including civilians, and were described by Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha as a “massive” strike timed to influence the diplomatic talks [1]. The barrage marked the largest coordinated aerial assault since the war’s outset, according to the report [1].

Geneva Talks Focus on Disputed Southern and Eastern Areas Russian and Ukrainian delegations convened in Geneva on Tuesday and Wednesday to discuss a peace framework [1]. Russia demanded retention of large portions of southern and eastern Ukraine, especially parts of Donetsk, while Kyiv insisted any territorial concession would be illegal and politically untenable [1]. The negotiations occur against the backdrop of the recent battlefield shifts and the preceding Russian strike [1].

Sources

Timeline

2022 – Russia launches a full‑scale invasion of Ukraine, triggering nationwide mobilization, a shifting front line and a protracted war that reshapes civilian life and military strategy across the country [1].

2023 – Vitaly, a ceramics artist who volunteers for Ukraine’s 2022 defence, is killed in combat in the Donbas; his body is first interred in Slovyansk while his pregnant wife Natalia freezes his sperm for a future child [1].

Dec 2, 2025 – Moscow announces it has captured the strategic eastern city of Pokrovsk, releasing a video of Russian troops raising a flag, while Kyiv insists fighting continues inside the city [7][6].

Dec 2, 2025 – U.S. and Ukrainian officials hold high‑level talks in Florida on ending the war, and a meeting between U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and President Putin in Moscow is scheduled for the following day [7].

Dec 3, 2025 – President Vladimir Putin publicly declares Pokrovsk “liberated,” praising Russian generals and warning Kyiv to cede territory or face force, a narrative aimed at Western audiences [6].

Dec 9, 2025 – Former President Donald Trump claims “Ukraine is losing” the war, a statement contradicted by officials who say the battlefield shows only incremental Russian gains and high casualties [5].

Dec 9, 2025 – Ukrainian soldiers in Pokrovsk continue to resist, raising flags and monitoring live drone feeds to prove control despite Russian propaganda [3].

Dec 17, 2025 – President Putin tells senior officers that if peace talks stall, Russia will “liberate its historical lands by military means” and expand a buffer zone, while unveiling the new nuclear‑capable Oreshnik missile entering service this month [11].

Dec 23, 2025 – Ukraine withdraws from the embattled town of Siversk to preserve combat capability, allowing Russian forces to move closer to the fortress‑belt cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk [2].

Dec 23, 2025 – Newsweek’s 2025 front‑line map shows little movement, labeling the year a stalemate with only modest Russian advances and highlighting Pokrovsk’s capture as a major Ukrainian loss [9].

Jan 1, 2026 – Russian brigades intensify pressure in Zaporizhzhia, seizing parts of Huliaipole; Ukrainian General Oleksandr Syrskyi admits weak defences led to the loss of a command post, while analysts warn the 1,000‑km southern front is overstretched [4].

Feb 4, 2026 – Natalia exhumes Vitaly’s remains from Slovyansk and reburies them with a Ukrainian flag and military honours in Kyiv, citing fears of Russian occupation of the original grave site [1].

Feb 5, 2026 – Senior officials from the United States, Russia and Ukraine meet in Abu Dhabi and agree to reactivate a high‑level military hotline after a four‑year hiatus, signalling a diplomatic thaw amid ongoing fighting [10].

Feb 6, 2026 – The Abu Dhabi meeting produces a prisoner swap returning 157 Russian soldiers and 150 Ukrainian servicemen; President Zelenskyy reports 55,000 Ukrainian military deaths and a 31 % rise in civilian casualties in 2025 [10].

Feb 2026 (early) – SpaceX’s Elon Musk restricts “unauthorized use” of Starlink by Russian forces, a move Ukrainian officials credit with delivering “real results” on the battlefield [8].

Feb 11‑15, 2026 – Ukraine’s counteroffensive recaptures 201 sq km—the fastest advance since mid‑2023—while Russia launches a massive drone‑missile barrage of ~400 drones and 29 missiles ahead of upcoming peace talks [8].

Feb 20‑21, 2026 – U.S.‑brokered Geneva talks convene, with Russia demanding retention of large parts of Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia and Kyiv insisting any concession would be illegal and unpopular; the talks occur as Russian attacks on energy infrastructure intensify [8].

2026 – The New START nuclear arms‑control treaty expires, removing limits on U.S. and Russian warheads for the first time since 1991 and adding a strategic risk layer to the ongoing conflict [1].

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