Croatia Targets 30% Nuclear by 2040 as Slovenia Plans New Krško Unit
Updated (3 articles)
Regional Nuclear Expansion Gains Legislative and Planning Momentum Croatia’s draft law seeks to lift nuclear’s share to at least 30 % of the power mix by 2040, while Slovenia moves toward a new Krško unit that could add up to 2,400 MW, both reflecting a coordinated push for low‑carbon capacity in the Balkans [1][2].
Croatia Sets Immediate Planning Deadlines After Law Submission The bill obliges the responsible minister to start civil nuclear planning within six months and deliver a full development plan within a year, with a Working Group comparing small modular reactors to large‑scale designs [1]. Croatia already co‑owns the Krško plant, which supplies roughly 16 % of its electricity [1].
Slovenia’s Spatial‑Planning Process Defines Project Parameters Before Referendum Prime Minister Robert Golob announced that the site, reactor type and price for the new Krško unit will be fixed before a public vote slated for late 2027 or early 2028, following the launch of a National Spatial Plan after a four‑month public consultation [2]. The plan’s final decision is expected in autumn 2028 [2].
Financing Model and Cost Estimates Drive Feasibility Decisions A Ministry of Finance report highlights that up to half of nuclear electricity costs stem from financing, making the chosen scheme crucial for price stability [2]. GEN Energija’s 2024 study estimates EUR 9.3 billion for a 1,000 MW unit and EUR 15.4 billion for a 1,650 MW unit, with Westinghouse AP1000 and EDF EPR/EPR1200 as viable reactor options [2].
Joint Ownership and Long‑Term Capacity Goals Shape Regional Strategy The proposed JEK2 project, jointly owned by Croatia’s HEP Group and Slovenia’s GEN Energija, targets a Final Investment Decision in 2029, construction start in 2033 and operation by 2041 [2]. Croatia remains a signatory to a declaration to triple its nuclear capacity by 2050, underscoring the long‑term ambition of both nations [1].
Sources
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1.
World Nuclear News: Croatia pushes nuclear law to hit 30% of power mix by 2040 – Details the draft law’s 30 % target, six‑month planning mandate, SMR study, and existing Krško co‑ownership, emphasizing Croatia’s strategic shift toward low‑carbon energy .
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2.
World Nuclear News: Slovenia Advances Planning for New Krško Nuclear Unit – Outlines Slovenia’s National Spatial Plan, referendum timeline, financing concerns, JEK2 capacity and cost estimates, and reactor options, focusing on the concrete steps toward a new Krško unit .
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Timeline
2020 – Assystem delivers the ITER tokamak building on schedule, demonstrating its capability in large‑scale nuclear‑fusion projects and establishing a track record that underpins its later nuclear‑plant consulting work [1].
2023 – Croatia establishes a Working Group for Nuclear Energy to evaluate small modular reactors versus large reactors, laying groundwork for future domestic nuclear capacity decisions [2].
2024 – GEN Energija publishes an economic study estimating €9.314 billion for a 1,000 MW unit and €15.371 billion for a 1,650 MW unit at Krško, informing Slovenia’s cost assumptions for the JEK2 project [3].
Feb 2026 – Assystem Deputy CEO Aurélien Aubarbier outlines that “the overall schedule from contract to grid connection is 100‑140 months” and stresses that “funding hinges on proven technology and loan length,” setting a benchmark for new nuclear builds worldwide [1].
Feb 2026 – The Croatian government forwards a draft nuclear‑energy law to parliament, targeting at least 30 % of the national power mix from nuclear by 2040 and mandating civil‑nuclear planning within six months of adoption and a full development plan within twelve months [2].
Feb 2026 – Slovenia’s Prime Minister Robert Golob says the site, likely price and reactor type for a new Krško unit will be known by the time the postponed public vote occurs, signalling concrete progress toward a second reactor at the joint plant [3].
Mid‑2026 (by Aug 2026) – Under the Croatian law, the responsible minister must begin civil nuclear planning, initiating feasibility studies and stakeholder engagement to meet the six‑month deadline [2].
Early‑2027 (by Feb 2027) – Croatia must present a comprehensive nuclear development plan, outlining technology choice, financing and timeline, as required by the new legislation [2].
Late 2027 / Early 2028 – Slovenia schedules a public referendum on the new Krško unit, presenting voters with the chosen location, construction conditions, supplier and final price, making the decision a pivotal step for the project’s financing and timeline [3].
Autumn 2028 – Slovenia expects to adopt the National Spatial Plan for the Krško expansion, finalising siting and regulatory parameters that will guide the subsequent investment decision [3].
2029 – Slovenia aims to reach a Final Investment Decision (FID) for the JEK2 project, committing capital based on the financing model that could affect up to half of nuclear electricity costs, as highlighted by the Ministry of Finance [3].
2033 – Construction of the new Krško unit is slated to begin, marking the transition from planning to physical build‑out for the joint Croatia‑Slovenia nuclear venture [3].
2040 – Croatia targets nuclear power to supply at least 30 % of its electricity, a milestone that will reshape its energy security and low‑carbon strategy [2].
2041 – The new Krško reactor is projected to enter commercial operation, adding up to 2,400 MW of capacity and potentially doubling the current nuclear contribution to Croatia’s power mix [3].
2050 – France’s nuclear strategy aims to triple nuclear capacity by this year, driving aggressive construction targets such as the 70‑75 month EPR2 schedule and influencing global financing expectations for nuclear projects [1].
End of the 21st century – Commercial electricity from fusion is expected to become viable, a long‑term horizon that frames Assystem’s ongoing work on ITER and future fusion start‑ups [1].
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External resources (4 links)
- https://music.amazon.com/podcasts/50e4f1c5-1810-472a-82fb-318660a55b79/world-nuclear-news (cited 1 times)
- https://open.spotify.com/show/4s1Jg4XoaR7xVGc8zLO9n7 (cited 1 times)
- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/world-nuclear-news/id1621952595 (cited 1 times)
- https://www.buzzsprout.com/1976153 (cited 1 times)