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Trump Launches Rapid Affordability Package as Mortgage Rates Slip Below 6%

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Policy Shift From Denialism to Aggressive Affordability Measures President Trump abandoned his earlier claim that affordability problems were a hoax and unveiled a sweeping set of proposals targeting food, electricity, housing, credit‑card rates, medicine and gasoline, while also floating $2,000 stimulus checks and hinting at appointing a new Federal Reserve chair to lower rates quickly [1].

Mortgage Market Responds With Sub‑6% Rates Mortgage rates briefly fell below the 6% threshold last week, offering immediate relief to borrowers; economists link the dip to the new policy direction and a recent large‑scale mortgage‑bond purchase that helped push yields down [1].

Tax Refunds Projected to Increase Significantly Forecasts indicate that 2024 income‑tax refunds could rise by 15%‑20% under the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” providing households with additional spending power alongside ongoing refinancing activity that frees cash for the middle class [1].

Public Sentiment Remains Skeptical Despite Policy Rollout A CNN poll shows only about three‑in‑ten Americans rate the economy positively, with a majority believing Trump’s policies have worsened conditions and that the administration has not done enough to make everyday goods affordable [1].

Potential Headwinds From Tariffs and Federal Reserve Probe Analysts warn that new tariffs could raise consumer prices as businesses pass costs forward, while a criminal investigation has led to a subpoena of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, threatening the credibility of the affordability agenda and central‑bank independence [1].

Growth Signals From AI Spending and Wealthy Buyers The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker points to strong quarterly growth, buoyed by AI infrastructure investment and heightened spending by affluent consumers, dynamics that could help some affordability measures take hold despite lingering uncertainty [1].

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Timeline

Summer 2025 – U.S. GDP expands at a 4.3% annualized rate, the fastest pace in two years, underscoring robust growth even as inflation remains a policy focus. [2]

2025 – Historic tariffs stay in effect, keeping consumer prices high; Fed Chair Jerome Powell says tariffs alone drive inflation above the 2% target, and the latest CPI shows a 2.7% year‑over‑year price rise. [2]

Dec 29, 2025 – Trump posts on Truth Social urging the Federal Reserve chair to cut interest rates, claiming a strong stock market could boost annual growth by up to 20% and labeling affordability the nation’s No. 1 problem. [2]

Dec 29, 2025 – Analysts expect the Fed to hold policy rates steady through mid‑2026, but note that a weakening labor market could trigger cuts; Trump warns inflation could delay cuts and suggests rates might be raised later if needed. [2]

Jan 20, 2026 – Trump abandons prior denialism and launches a rapid policy package aimed at lowering costs for food, electricity, housing, credit‑card rates, medicine and gasoline, while floating $2,000 stimulus checks and signaling plans to appoint a new Fed chair who could quickly lower rates. [1]

Jan 20, 2026 – Mortgage rates briefly dip below 6%, offering temporary relief to borrowers and reflecting the impact of recent policy moves and a large mortgage‑bond purchase program. [1]

Jan 20, 2026 – The One Big Beautiful Bill Act could raise tax refunds by 15‑20%, giving households extra spending power and coinciding with ongoing refinancing activity that frees cash for the middle class. [1]

Jan 20, 2026 – A CNN poll shows only about three in ten Americans rate the economy positively; a majority say Trump’s policies have made the economy worse and that he has not done enough to make everyday goods affordable. [1]

Jan 20, 2026 – Analysts warn that existing tariffs and a criminal subpoena of Fed Chair Jerome Powell could undermine the affordability agenda by raising prices and threatening central‑bank independence. [1]

Jan 20, 2026 – The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker points to strong quarterly growth, buoyed by AI infrastructure spending and affluent consumer demand, suggesting some affordability measures may take hold despite broader uncertainty. [1]

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