Nov 30, 2025 – Gallup poll shows Trump’s approval at 36% and disapproval at 60%; Republican support sits at 84% while independents back him only 25%, MAGA coalition shrinks and Hispanic favorable view falls to 25% from 44% [4].

Dec 11, 2025 – AP‑NORC poll records economy approval at 31% (lowest in his terms), immigration approval at 38%, crime approval at 43%, overall approval at 36%, and Republican economy approval slipping to 69% [7].

Dec 31, 2025 – Major trackers (NYT, Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics) place Trump’s approval around 42‑43% and disapproval 53‑54%, yielding a net negative; DHS reports over 2 million illegal aliens self‑deport or are deported and cites the Kilmar Abrego Garcia case as a legal challenge [3].

Jan 1, 2026 – Federal health‑care subsidies for more than 20 million Americans expire, driving higher out‑of‑pocket costs and fueling Republican criticism of the administration’s economic performance [5].

Early 2026 – A Minneapolis killing of a Minnesota man by Border Patrol agents triggers a 7‑point dip in Trump’s approval, prompting a leadership change at ICE that later helps his ratings rebound [1].

Jan 8‑11, 2026 – AP‑NORC poll finds Trump’s overall approval steady near 40%; economy approval rises to 37% from 31%, immigration approval falls to 38% from 49% in March, foreign‑policy disapproval hovers around 60%, and the poll follows the death of immigration activist Renee Good [6].

Jan 15, 2026 – Trump claims “the Trump economic boom has officially begun” in response to the poll’s modest economy‑approval uptick, highlighting a disconnect between his messaging and public sentiment [6].

Jan 16, 2026 – AP‑NORC poll shows eight in ten Republicans approve of Trump’s job performance; about 80% back his immigration crackdown, though GOP approval of his immigration handling drops from 88% in March to 76% [5].

Jan 28‑29, 2026 – Harvard CAPS/Harris poll records overall approval at 45% (down from 47% in December), immigration approval at 46%, economy approval at 43%, foreign‑affairs approval at 42%, and notes that 63% of respondents now credit Trump for the economy, an 11‑point rise [2].

Jan 31‑Feb 1, 2026 – InsiderAdvantage poll shows Trump’s approval rebound to 50% and disapproval to 49% after the ICE leadership change; undecided voters shrink to 1% [1].

Feb 2, 2026 – Trump posts on Truth Social, “The highest Poll Numbers I have ever received. Obviously, people like a strong and powerful Country, with the best economy, EVER!” [1].

Feb 2‑4, 2026 – White House spokesperson Kush Desai tells Newsweek the administration remains “laser‑focused on continuing to cool inflation, accelerate economic growth, secure our border, and mass deport criminal illegal aliens” [1].

Nov 2026 (midterm elections) – Analysts expect immigration and the economy to dominate the 2026 midterm battles; Democrats target traditionally red districts such as Tennessee’s 7th, where polls show a statistical tie that could flip the seat [4][3].