2024 – Vincent Claudin, now a parliamentary attaché for the RN, leaves the antisemitic neo‑fascist group Lyon populaire, illustrating the fluid links between mainstream right‑wing parties and extremist networks[11].

2025 – French authorities dissolve La Jeune Garde, the former security outfit of La France Insoumise, marking the first official ban on a radical left militia[1][8].

Feb 12, 2026 – Masked assailants beat 23‑year‑old nationalist student Quentin Deranque outside a Sciences‑Po Lyon conference featuring MEP Rima Hassan; video shows repeated kicks and punches near a waste bin, and the attack follows a small far‑right feminist demonstration[1][2][7].

Feb 14, 2026 – Quentin Deranque dies in hospital from catastrophic head injuries inflicted two days earlier, sparking a national outcry and framing the incident as a lethal clash between far‑right and antifascist activists[1][3][4].

Feb 17, 2026 – Police detain nine suspects, including LFI parliamentary aide Jacques‑Elie Favrot, and link them to the outlawed Jeune Garde as part of the murder investigation[2].

Feb 18, 2026 – Authorities expand the probe, arresting 11 individuals—seven face intentional homicide, aggravated violence and conspiracy charges—and confirm many have ties to the dissolved Jeune Garde and anti‑fascist networks[3].

Feb 20, 2026 – Education minister Philippe Baptiste orders all French universities to suspend political gatherings for security reasons and cancels Rima Hassan’s talk at ENS Paris‑Saclay scheduled for Feb 27[6].

Feb 20, 2026 – RN attaché Vincent Claudin, former Lyon populaire member, posts a video urging “several thousand” far‑right militants to march in Deranque’s memory, highlighting the RN’s indirect involvement in the tribute[11].

Feb 21, 2026 – Approximately 3,000 far‑right supporters march peacefully in Lyon to honor Deranque, under tight police supervision and strict dress codes, framing themselves as “the good guys” while avoiding overt violence[4][5][10].

Feb 21, 2026 – President Emmanuel Macron calls for calm, declares “no violence is legitimate,” and announces a ministerial meeting next week to review all violent activist groups, hinting at possible dismantling[4][5].

Feb 23, 2026 – Jean‑Luc Mélenchon holds a digital‑media press conference at La Fabrique, publicly reaffirming support for the Jeune Garde despite its 2025 dissolution and the ongoing Deranque investigation[8].

Feb 24, 2026 – The anti‑terrorism sub‑directorate joins Lyon’s judicial police as authorities indict seven young men—most linked to Jeune Garde—for murder or complicity in Deranque’s death, signaling a new wave of antifascist radicalisation[7].

Feb 24, 2026 – Right‑wing leaders Laurent Wauquiez and Bruno Retailleau demand a “cordon sanitaire” around LFI, arguing the party’s rhetoric fuels violence and warning against any left‑wing alliances ahead of the March municipal elections[9].

Feb 27, 2026 (planned) – Rima Hassan’s lecture at ENS Paris‑Saclay is cancelled following security concerns raised by the Lyon killing, demonstrating the broader impact on academic events[6].

Mar 2026 (planned) – Municipal elections occur across France, with parties leveraging the Deranque case to shape narratives and test alliances before the 2027 presidential race[3][4][5][9].

2027 – The presidential election approaches, and the Deranque affair threatens the long‑standing cordon sanitaire that has traditionally isolated the far right, potentially reshaping French political alignments[1].