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Delcy Rodríguez Navigates US Oil Deal and Chavista Loyalty After Maduro Ouster

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  • Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Image: BBC
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro (BBC) Source Full size
  • Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas
    Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas
    Image: BBC
    Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas (Government of Caracas) Source Full size
  • Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright
    Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright
    Image: BBC
    Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright (Reuters) Source Full size
  • Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas
    Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas
    Image: BBC
    Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas Source Full size
  • Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power
    Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power
    Image: BBC
    Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power (Getty Images) Source Full size
  • Police officers stand guard during a protest
    Police officers stand guard during a protest
    Image: BBC
    Police officers stand guard during a protest (Reuters) Source Full size

US Lightning Operation Forces Maduro Out On 3 January 2026 the United States carried out a “lightning operation” that expelled President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores from Venezuela, sending them to Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center where they face drug‑trafficking charges they deny [1]. The raid marked the first direct removal of a sitting Venezuelan leader by foreign forces in decades. Maduro’s removal created an immediate power vacuum that the Chavista establishment moved quickly to fill.

Delcy Rodríguez Assumes Acting Presidency Acting president Delcy Rodríguez, a longtime Maduro loyalist, stepped into the role, installing a cabinet of technocrats and passing legislation that permits U.S. oil firms to operate in Venezuelan fields [1]. She also ordered the release of several political prisoners, a move the opposition attributes to U.S. pressure. Rodríguez’s reforms are limited, signaling pragmatic governance rather than systemic change.

Trump Offers Venezuelan Oil and Praises Rodríguez President Donald Trump announced a proposal to purchase up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil and pledged to manage the proceeds, presenting the deal as a lifeline for Venezuela’s collapsing economy [1]. Trump publicly described Rodríguez as “a wonderful person” and highlighted their cooperation. The offer ties U.S. strategic interests to Venezuela’s oil sector while sidestepping broader political reforms.

Rodríguez Meets CIA Director Amid Diplomatic Tightrope On 16 January 2026 Rodríguez delivered an anti‑imperialist speech to the National Assembly before meeting CIA Director John Ratcliffe in Caracas, underscoring the delicate balance between appeasing the United States and maintaining Chavista rhetoric [1]. The meeting signaled a pragmatic engagement with U.S. intelligence despite public denunciations of imperialism. It also reinforced Trump’s public commendation of Rodríguez.

Economic Crisis Persists Despite Prospective US Investment Venezuela continues to suffer the world’s highest inflation, with 86 % of the population living in poverty in 2024 and a basic food basket projected to cost $526.83 in 2025 [1]. While the promised U.S. oil investment offers potential relief, analysts note that focusing solely on oil may not translate into broader economic recovery. The immediate impact of the deal on inflation and poverty remains unclear.

Cabello Remains Key Power Broker Military strongman Diosdado Cabello, who commands the armed forces, national guard, and “colectivos” paramilitary groups, retains a $25 million U.S. bounty and is essential to Rodríguez’s political calculus [1]. Rodríguez must keep Cabello satisfied to preserve internal security and attract foreign investors. His influence underscores the continued dominance of the military‑political elite in Venezuelan governance.

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Timeline

2024 – Venezuela endures the world’s highest inflation, 86 % poverty and a basic food basket costing $526.83, fueling desperation for U.S. oil investment and heightening political stakes. [1]

Sep 2, 2025 – The United States conducts its first strike on alleged drug vessels off Venezuela, marking an escalation of anti‑narcotics operations that precede the later Caracas raid. [2]

Sep 2025 – U.S. forces destroy more than 80 suspected drug‑smuggling boats, intensifying pressure on Maduro’s regime and signaling willingness to use kinetic force. [25]

Dec 2025 – The U.S. national‑security strategy adopts the “Donroe Doctrine,” a rebranded Monroe Doctrine that pledges to deny non‑Hemispheric competitors control of strategic assets across the Western Hemisphere. [6]

Dec 23, 2025 – The Department of Justice’s Office of Legal Counsel issues an opinion stating that the planned removal of Maduro does not constitute a constitutional war, outlining five justifications for limited military action. [7]

Jan 3, 2026 – U.S. Delta Force and over 150 aircraft execute a midnight “lightning” operation in Caracas, capture President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores, and transport them to the USS Iwo Jima before flying them to a Brooklyn detention center. [18][26][30]

Jan 3, 2026 – President Donald Trump announces that the United States will run Venezuela “indefinitely” during a transition, promising U.S. troops to protect oil infrastructure and billions in investment. [20]

Jan 3, 2026 – Vice‑President Delcy Rodríguez is sworn in by the Supreme Court as interim president, asserting continuity of the state while the U.S. claims authority over the transition. [18]

Jan 3, 2026 – The United Nations Security Council convenes an emergency meeting to debate the legality of the U.S. raid and its implications for sovereignty. [19]

Jan 4, 2026 – Trump pledges to rebuild Venezuela’s oil industry and channel oil revenues to U.S. interests, while the Donroe Doctrine frames the action as a hemispheric security measure. [18][4]

Jan 4, 2026 – Social‑media videos show airstrikes and explosions over Caracas; the White House directs inquiries to a Trump Truth Social post claiming the capture. [24]

Jan 5, 2026 – Nicolás Maduro pleads not guilty in Manhattan federal court, reiterating his claim to the presidency and invoking head‑of‑state immunity. [13]

Jan 5, 2026 – Chinese platform Weibo records millions of views of the raid, but analysts say the incident will not alter Beijing’s Taiwan strategy. [14]

Jan 5, 2026 – Thirty‑eight civic groups rally outside the U.S. Embassy in Seoul, condemning the raid and demanding Maduro’s release. [15]

Jan 6, 2026 – A U.S. judge invites bail requests for Maduro and Flores but signals that release is unlikely given the severity of narco‑terrorism charges. [11]

Jan 6, 2026 – Trump publicly declares the operation a “dramatic” raid and hints at further interventions in Greenland, Colombia, Iran, Mexico and Cuba, extending the Donroe Doctrine’s scope. [12]

Jan 7, 2026 – Secretary of State Marco Rubio tells Senator Mike Lee that the “kinetic” strike protected arresting personnel, framing the raid as a law‑enforcement action rather than an act of war. [9]

Jan 7, 2026 – Declassified details reveal CIA operatives infiltrated a denied area in August, recruited a source close to Maduro, and integrated human and technical intelligence to plan the raid. [3]

Jan 8, 2026 – The Trump administration formally recognizes Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s interim leader, prioritizing stability and a staged oil‑revenue plan over immediate regime change. [5]

Jan 8, 2026 – President Trump announces the “Donroe Doctrine,” replacing the Monroe Doctrine and asserting unilateral U.S. dominance from Greenland to Venezuela. [4]

Jan 2026 (planned) – The State Department outlines a three‑stage plan—stabilisation with supervised marketing of 30‑50 million barrels, reconciliation measures, then a democratic transition—to restore order before elections. [5]

Jan 14, 2026 – The DOJ’s legal opinion is publicized, emphasizing that the operation falls within presidential war‑powers without triggering a constitutional war. [7]

Jan 14, 2026 – ACLED data show 573 U.S. air and drone strikes in the first year of Trump’s term, surpassing Biden’s total and highlighting a broader shift toward unilateral force. [8]

Jan 28, 2026 – The Senate Foreign Affairs Committee holds its first public hearing on the Venezuela raid, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio stressing that the U.S. is not at war and outlining an offshore oil‑revenue control plan. [2]

Feb 18, 2026 – Acting President Delcy Rodríguez balances Chavista loyalty with Trump’s offer of up to 50 million barrels of oil, appoints technocrats, releases political prisoners, and navigates the influence of military strongman Diosdado Cabello amid Venezuela’s deepest economic crisis. [1]

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