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Russia Launches Massive Drone‑Missile Barrage, Escalates Sabotage and Arms Deal with Iran

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Combined Drone‑Missile Strike Hits Key Ukrainian Infrastructure Ukraine’s air force recorded 347 Russian drones and missiles striking overnight, downing 274 drones and 33 missiles; primary targets included Kyiv, Odesa, Kirovohrad and Poltava, with a newly emphasized focus on water‑supply and railway facilities [1].

Coordinated Lviv Bombings Linked to Russian Intelligence Two homemade explosives detonated in rubbish bins at a Lviv shopping centre, killing police officer Viktoria Shpylka and wounding about 25 others; investigators detained a 33‑year‑old woman from Staryi Sambir who allegedly acted on instructions from a Russian handler, confirming Moscow’s involvement [1][2].

Russia Finalizes €500 Million Verba MANPADS Sale to Iran The Financial Times reported a contract for 500 Verba MANPADS, 2,500 9M336 surface‑to‑air missiles and 500 night‑vision sights valued at €500 million, with deliveries slated for 2027‑29 and possible early shipments after Iran’s 2025 air‑defence losses [1].

Ukrainian Counter‑Strikes Damage Russian Defence Facilities Satellite imagery showed Ukrainian drone attacks damaging the Votkinsk Machine‑Building Plant, the Neftogorsk gas‑processing plant, the Velikiye Luki oil depot and a GRAU ammunition depot near Kotluban, striking deep into Russia’s defence industrial base [1].

Limited Russian Ground Gains Near Slovyansk Amid Diplomatic Talks Russian units seized the village of Zakitne and engaged in fighting for Kalenyky, marking modest advances toward Slovyansk; the moves coincide with the start of Geneva trilateral talks on Feb 17 and a tentative discussion of an energy‑strike moratorium, while Russia’s overall strike tempo remains below its 2025 peak [1][3].

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Timeline

Nov 30, 2025 – Russian forces launch a massive missile‑drone strike on Kyiv, firing 36 missiles and 596 drones that knock out power for over 500,000 customers; President Volodymyr Zelensky says the attack “shatters any pretense of normalcy” and urges stronger air‑defence aid [30].

Dec 6, 2025 – Russia unleashes 653 drones and 51 missiles across Ukraine, targeting energy sites and causing a temporary loss of off‑site power at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant; NATO allies discuss “rapid delivery of additional air‑defence missiles” as Zelensky reports “the most powerful blow of the year” [24].

Dec 15, 2025 – Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov accuses Europe of “reviving Nazism” while Russia fires 153 drones; the United States offers “unspecified security guarantees” to Kyiv and former President Donald Trump says European leaders “want to end the war” [23].

Dec 23, 2025 – A Ukrainian drone strike sparks a fire at an industrial site in Russia’s Stavropol region; Governor Vladimir Vladimirov reports no injuries, highlighting Kyiv’s strategy to hit Russian energy and chemical infrastructure [22].

Dec 24, 2025 – A bomb explosion in Moscow kills three police officers; Ukrainian military intelligence claims the operation, stating “we are striking the heart of the aggressor” [21].

Dec 25, 2025 – Widespread Christmas‑time strikes hit civilian energy facilities in Odesa and elsewhere, killing one civilian; officials warn of “mass blackouts” as peace talks stall [20].

Dec 26, 2025 – Ukraine hits the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery in Russia’s Rostov region with British‑supplied Storm Shadow missiles, damaging a key fuel source for Moscow’s war machine [19].

Dec 31, 2025 – Russian drones injure six in Odesa, including a toddler; President Vladimir Putin declares in his New Year address that “Russia will prevail,” while the UN reports civilian deaths rising above 2,300 [18].

Jan 2, 2026 – Two Russian missiles strike a Kharkiv apartment block, injuring at least 25; President Zelensky condemns the attack as “heinous” and appoints General Kyrylo Budanov as his new chief of staff [16][17].

Jan 5, 2026 – A Russian drone hits a Kyiv hospital, killing at least one patient; Zelensky says 165 drones, including 100 Shahed models, were launched overnight and calls the strike “an act of terror” [15].

Jan 9, 2026 – Russia fires the hypersonic Oreshnik missile in a broad barrage that hits Kyiv and Lviv, the second use of the system since November 2024; EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas warns it is “a warning to Europe and the United States,” while Moscow claims retaliation for a drone attack on Putin’s residence [5][14].

Jan 10, 2026 – Russia conducts another Oreshnik‑powered overnight attack, with debris found in Lviv; Ukraine seeks an urgent UN Security Council meeting, and the Pope urges an immediate ceasefire [13][12].

Jan 11, 2026 – A Ukrainian drone strike in Russia’s Voronezh kills one civilian and wounds three; Ukraine also hits three Lukoil drilling platforms in the Caspian Sea, aiming to cut Moscow’s oil revenue [11].

Jan 18, 2026 – Ukrainian drones damage power networks in Russian‑occupied southern Ukraine, leaving over 200,000 households without electricity; President Zelensky notes that “repairing our energy system remains challenging” and a Ukrainian delegation prepares to meet U.S. officials in Washington [10].

Jan 24, 2026 – Fresh Russian strikes kill one civilian and injure 35, prompting Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha to call the assault “brutal” and “cynically ordered by Putin”; Abu Dhabi trilateral talks resume, while Zelensky rejects any territorial concessions and seeks U.S. security guarantees [4].

Jan 27, 2026 – A Russian drone hits a passenger train in Kharkiv, killing five; Zelensky labels the attack “purely terrorism” and says “any country would view it the same way” [3].

Jan 28, 2026 – Additional drone barrages strike Odesa, killing three and damaging an energy facility; a residential block near Kyiv is hit, killing a couple and injuring their child, deepening the winter energy crisis [3][9].

Feb 1, 2026 – Russian drones strike a maternity hospital in Zaporizhzhia (six injured) and a DTEK miners’ bus in Dnipropetrovsk (12 dead, eight wounded); Kyiv thanks Elon Musk’s SpaceX for blocking Starlink use by Russian drones, calling Musk “a true friend of the Ukrainian people” [2][8][29].

Feb 2‑3, 2026 – After a brief moratorium, Russia resumes large‑scale missile‑drone attacks, launching 450 drones and 71 missiles—the strike package contains 1.5 times more ballistic missiles than previous raids; Zelensky says it is “1.5 times larger than before the Abu Dhabi talks” [28].

Feb 3, 2026 – Russia fires a record‑high barrage of over 70 missiles and 450 drones at Ukraine’s energy grid, hitting Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa; NATO secretary‑general urges allies to “dig deep in their stockpiles” of air‑defence missiles [1].

Feb 3, 2026 – Ukraine announces a new attrition goal: “we must kill 50,000 Russian soldiers each month,” citing December’s 35,000 casualties and a CSIS estimate of 1.2 million Russian losses [7].

Feb 4‑5, 2026 – Geneva trilateral talks (U.S., Ukraine, Russia) begin, discussing a short‑term moratorium on energy strikes; Zelensky warns intelligence indicates “another large strike is imminent” [26].

Feb 6‑7, 2026 – Russia launches a massive strike of 408 drones and 39 missiles, cutting power for about 600,000 customers; the attack follows the Jan 29‑Feb 1 pause used to stockpile weapons, prompting the United States to push for a peace referendum in May 2026 [27].

Feb 7, 2026 – Zelensky confirms a U.S.–sponsored meeting in the United States (likely Miami) around Feb 12, while the Kremlin denies any such plan; GRU deputy chief Vladimir Alekseyev survives an assassination attempt [27].

Feb 18, 2026 – Russia launches 425 drones and missiles (including Iskander‑M and Kh‑101) ahead of Geneva talks, hitting energy sites and cutting power for tens of thousands; Kremlin officials reiterate that “Ukraine can win only by joining the Russian Federation” [26].

Feb 22, 2026 – Two homemade bombs explode in Lviv, killing policewoman Viktoria Shpylka and wounding dozens; prosecutors detain a 33‑year‑old woman “acting on instructions from a Russian handler,” while Zelensky reports a barrage of 50 missiles and nearly 300 drones that kills one near Kyiv [6].

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