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Trump Administration Consolidates Power in Venezuela While Iran Tensions Escalate

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  • U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29.
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29.
    Image: Newsweek
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29. Source Full size
  • Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Image: BBC
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro (BBC) Source Full size
  • Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro
    Image: BBC
    Donald Trump, Delcy Rodriguez and Nicolas Maduro (BBC) Source Full size
  • Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas
    Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas
    Image: BBC
    Images of Maduro and Flores were illuminated above Caracas (Government of Caracas) Source Full size
  • Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright
    Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright
    Image: BBC
    Rodríguez with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright (Reuters) Source Full size
  • Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas
    Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas
    Image: BBC
    Leonardo Arca (second from the right) protesting in Caracas Source Full size
  • Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power
    Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power
    Image: BBC
    Diosdado Cabello commands a great deal of power (Getty Images) Source Full size
  • Police officers stand guard during a protest
    Police officers stand guard during a protest
    Image: BBC
    Police officers stand guard during a protest (Reuters) Source Full size
  • U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29.
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29.
    Image: Newsweek
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and U.S. President Donald Trump (R) in the White House on January 29. Source Full size

U.S. Operation Ousts Maduro and Triggers Cuban Withdrawal The United States launched a covert strike on 3 January that captured former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, transporting them to a Brooklyn detention center for pending drug‑trafficking charges [2]. Within days, elite Cuban security units began pulling out of Venezuela, a move Reuters confirmed as a direct consequence of the U.S. action [1]. The rapid removal of Maduro and the Cuban exit signaled a decisive shift in Caracas’s power structure, paving the way for a U.S.-backed transition.

Trump‑Backed Oil Deal and Diplomatic Outreach Shape Transition Acting President Delcy Rodríguez announced a Trump‑negotiated agreement to export up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil, positioning the deal as a lifeline for the nation’s collapsing economy [2]. Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly praised the transition, pledging to end drug trafficking and eradicate Iranian and Hezbollah influence [1]. Rodríguez’s meetings with CIA Director John Ratcliffe on 16 January and phone calls with President Trump underscored a pragmatic, if uneasy, U.S.–Venezuela engagement [2].

Iran‑Focused Military Buildup Raises Regional Stakes The United States has assembled a larger, more complex force in the Middle East than ever deployed in the Caribbean, reflecting preparation for potential action against Iran [1]. President Trump issued a 10‑ to 15‑day deadline for Tehran to produce a draft nuclear agreement, warning that a limited strike would follow if diplomacy failed [1]. European governments—including Germany, Sweden, and Poland—issued travel alerts urging citizens to leave Iran, with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warning that evacuation could become impossible within days [1].

Venezuela’s Internal Power Dynamics and Economic Crisis Remain Acute Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello, who commands the military, paramilitary colectivos and carries a U.S. bounty, continues to wield decisive influence over Rodríguez’s administration [2]. Inflation remains the world’s highest and 86 % of Venezuelans live in poverty, with a basic food basket costing $527 in 2025, fueling hopes that U.S. oil investment will alleviate hardship [2]. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio is pressing for early elections, while opposition groups claim the 2024 vote was rigged, leaving the timing of democratic transition uncertain [2].

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Timeline

Dec 23, 2025 – Trump says it would be “smart” for Maduro to step down and hints the United States could keep or sell seized Venezuelan oil, linking oil leverage to political pressure; he notes more than 100 casualties from recent strikes on drug‑related vessels. [24]

Dec 31, 2025 – Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro claims a U.S. strike hit a Maracaibo factory used to process coca paste and attributes the attack to the ELN guerrilla group, while Trump asserts the strike destroyed a key drug facility without naming its location. [23]

Sept 2, 2025 – Sen. Tim Kaine cites the first U.S. strike on suspected drug boats in the Caribbean, marking an escalation of law‑enforcement actions against narcotics networks tied to Venezuela. [2]

2024 – International observers and the U.S. label the Venezuelan presidential election as rigged; opposition figures recognize Edmundo González Urrutia as the 2024 winner despite Maduro’s claim to victory. [1][11]

Jan 3, 2026 – Delta Force raids Caracas, seizing President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores and transporting them to the USS Iwo Jima and then to New York to face a narco‑terrorism indictment; Trump declares the U.S. will “run” Venezuela and control its oil reserves, while Secretary of State Rubio outlines an offshore oil‑revenue control plan. [20][21][27][28][29][30]

Jan 3, 2026 – Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau posts “the tyrant is gone” on X, heralding a “new dawn for Venezuela,” and Vice President JD Vance dismisses a congressional war‑powers resolution as “fake.” [7][8]

Jan 4, 2026 – Delcy Rodríguez is sworn in as interim president by the Supreme Court; Maduro and Flores are flown aboard the USS Iwo Jima to Stewart Air National Guard Base and then to a Brooklyn detention center, with the indictment accusing them of narco‑terrorism and weapons conspiracies, and the U.S. announces plans for oil‑industry investment. [15][18][19][26][27][28][29][30]

Jan 5, 2026 – Rodríguez, a longtime Maduro ally, posts an Instagram invitation for U.S. cooperation on development while in a televised address calling the United States “extremists” and affirming Maduro as Venezuela’s rightful leader. [15]

Jan 6, 2026 – Trump proclaims the “Donroe Doctrine,” replacing the Monroe Doctrine and asserting unchallenged U.S. dominance in the Western Hemisphere, linking it to strategic assets such as Venezuelan oil and Greenland’s minerals; analysts note Chinese JY‑27A radars failed to detect the raid, exposing limits of China‑made air‑defense in Venezuela. [4][13][14]

Jan 6, 2026 – An editorial warns the Maduro capture sets a dangerous precedent, coining the “Donroe Doctrine” and urging major powers to unite against U.S. unilateralism; the raid also deepens Iran’s crisis as Tehran reacts to the loss of a key ally. [12][10]

Jan 7, 2026 – Video shows Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello armed and surrounded by militia in Caracas, labeling the abduction a “criminal, terrorist attack”; the U.S. unseals an indictment naming Cabello second after Maduro, heightening his legal exposure. [9]

Jan 7, 2026 – U.S. officials confirm the operation removed Maduro but note many of his party officials remain in power, and the White House outlines a three‑stage plan: stabilize, control oil revenue, then pursue reconciliation and elections. [11][5]

Jan 8, 2026 – The Trump administration formally recognizes Rodríguez as interim leader, prioritizing short‑term stability over backing opposition figure María Corina Machado, citing intelligence warnings of potential guerrilla resistance. [5]

Jan 9, 2026 – CIA operatives, working without diplomatic cover, infiltrate a denied area in Venezuela, using a human‑intelligence mosaic and a source close to Maduro to plan the capture; low‑altitude flights involve about 150 aircraft, and cyber assets reportedly shut off city lights during the raid. [3]

Jan 10, 2026 – Trump asserts his “morality” is the only limit on his power, while White House advisers Miller and Leavitt stress strength and leverage over Venezuela; the administration also rules out a U.S. mission to capture Putin, citing existing diplomatic efforts. [7][8]

Jan 16, 2026 – Acting President Rodríguez announces energy‑sector reforms on the Paraguana Peninsula, aiming to revitalize the country’s largest refining complex amid the post‑capture political landscape. [6]

Jan 18, 2026 – Rodríguez meets CIA Director John Ratcliffe in Caracas, maintains anti‑imperialist rhetoric while overseeing a Trump‑announced deal to deliver up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil, balancing Chavista base expectations with U.S. pressure for elections. [1]

Feb 18, 2026 – Rodríguez continues to juggle U.S. oil‑investment hopes against soaring inflation (world’s highest) and 86 % poverty, while Secretary of State Rubio pushes for early elections and Rodríguez delays them to strengthen her position. [1]

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