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Iranian University Students Launch Nationwide Protests as U.S. Warships Arrive

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Student protests resurge across major Iranian campuses Hundreds of demonstrators marched at Sharif University of Technology, Shahid Beheshti University, Amir Kabir University of Technology and Mashhad University on Feb 22, chanting “death to the dictator” and “death to Khamenei” while honoring victims of the Jan 8‑9 crackdown [1][2][3]. Verified footage shows coordinated sit‑ins and rallies, marking the first large‑scale university mobilization since the deadly January repression [1]. The protests spread to additional institutions in Tehran and the northeast, with students invoking exiled heir Reza Pahlavi in some chants [2].

Demonstrations align with 40‑day mourning ceremonies The rallies coincided with chehelom observances marking forty days since the Jan 8‑9 killings, a tradition that drew hundreds of mourners in cities such as Abdanan, Mashhad and Tehran [2][4][6][7]. Participants shouted “death to Khamenei” and “death to America” while recalling the thousands killed in the crackdown [4][7]. Rights groups reported that the memorials amplified the anti‑government sentiment and served as a catalyst for the renewed campus actions [2][6].

Clashes produce injuries and gunfire Confrontations erupted between protesters and pro‑government groups, including rock‑throwing that injured a Basij volunteer at Sharif University, according to state‑affiliated SNN [2]. In Abdanan cemetery, a security official opened fire on mourners, discharging two shots from an armored vehicle and causing panic [7]. Iranian state media claimed the gatherings were peaceful, contradicting verified video evidence of the violence [7][3].

U.S. military posture intensifies near Iran The United States deployed the carrier USS Gerald R. Ford and three destroyers to the Mediterranean, creating a rare two‑carrier presence in the region alongside an existing carrier [3][1][5][6]. President Donald Trump signaled a possible limited strike within ten days, with advisers estimating a 90 % chance of action in the coming weeks [1][5][6]. Simultaneously, Iran conducted joint naval drills with Russia and accelerated fortifications at nuclear sites such as Taleghan 2, underscoring heightened strategic tension [3][6].

Death‑toll estimates reveal stark discrepancy The Human Rights Activists News Agency tallied at least 7,015 deaths—including 6,508 protesters, 226 children and 214 security personnel—since the January unrest [1][7]. Iranian authorities reported a lower figure of roughly 3,100 deaths, primarily describing the victims as security forces or bystanders [1][4]. The divergent counts highlight the scale of the crackdown and the difficulty of independent verification amid ongoing unrest [1][4][7].

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Quinnipac: Voters 51 – 42 Percent Oppose U.S. Joining Israel In Military Strikes On Iran’S Nuclear Sites, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Vast Majority Concerned U.S. Will Get Drawn Into A War With Iran

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Quinnipac: 7 Out Of 10 Voters Do Not Want The U.S. To Take Military Action Against Iran For Killing Of Protesters, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 70% Say Presidents Should Seek Congressional Approval Before Taking Military Action Against Another Country

Published (30 tables/charts)

Timeline

Dec 28, 2025 – Demonstrations erupt in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar over a collapsing rial and inflation, quickly spreading to dozens of cities and marking the largest anti‑government uprising since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests; analysts link the unrest to the June 2025 12‑day war with Israel and renewed sanctions [24].

Jan 4, 2026 – The Iranian government announces a universal monthly cash allowance equal to roughly 3.5 % of the average wage, framing it as a response to protesters’ economic grievances while maintaining a hard line on dissent [25].

Jan 5, 2026 – Chief Justice Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei orders prosecutors nationwide to show “no leniency” toward rioters, emphasizing the regime’s resolve as protests reach 25 provinces and 45 cities [25].

Jan 6, 2026 – An ISW‑based map records 369 protests in 28 provinces since Dec 28, confirming the nationwide scale and noting at least four towns where security forces fire on demonstrators [24].

Jan 8‑9, 2026 – Authorities impose a near‑total internet and telephone blackout across Iran, a tactic aimed at curbing reporting of the protests that have now spread to over 100 cities [22][27].

Jan 9, 2026 – State TV blames “terrorist agents” from the United States and Israel for protest‑related fires, while death toll estimates rise to at least 39 and detentions exceed 2,260 [21].

Jan 9, 2026 – Iran’s UN ambassador accuses President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu of inciting violence, claiming their rhetoric could turn peaceful demonstrations into disorder [20].

Jan 9, 2026 – Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei labels protesters “vandals” seeking U.S. support and files a UN Security Council letter blaming Washington for the unrest [19].

Jan 10, 2026 – Khamenei reiterates that demonstrators aim to please Trump, while Iran’s judiciary chief vows decisive, maximum punishments for protesters; death toll climbs to at least 65 amid a deepening internet shutdown [18].

Jan 11, 2026 – The exiled PMOI/MEK declares Iran ready for democracy, noting HRANA’s tally of 116 killed and 2,600 detained, and urges the establishment of a democratic republic [17].

Jan 12, 2026 – President Trump tells the BBC the U.S. military is weighing “very strong options” in response to the protests, while discussing satellite‑based internet restoration with Elon Musk [16].

Jan 13, 2026 – Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly states Israel is monitoring the Iranian protests and supports the demonstrators, while Israel’s leadership remains silent on direct action [14].

Jan 13, 2026 – Trump hints at renewed military intervention, warning of “very strong action” if detained protesters are harmed and posting “HELP IS ON ITS WAY” on Truth Social [13].

Jan 13, 2026 – HRANA reports 512 protesters and 134 security personnel killed as protests reach 187 cities; exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi gains visible support [15].

Jan 14, 2026 – Trump claims executions in Iran have stopped, while Tehran promises rapid trials and decisive punishments for detainees [12].

Jan 15, 2026 – Trump says Iran has no plan for executions, cites “good authority” that killings have ceased, and orders some U.S. personnel to leave Qatar’s Al‑Udeid base; HRANA’s death toll exceeds 2,400 amid an ongoing internet blackout [11].

Jan 18, 2026 – A security official opens fire from an armoured vehicle on mourners at a 40‑day commemoration cemetery in Abdanan, killing no one but causing panic; chants include “death to America” and “death to Khamenei” [2].

Jan 20, 2026 – Diaspora Iranians describe the crackdown’s human toll and economic collapse, urging sustained international pressure while warning that broad military strikes could backfire [10].

Feb 18, 2026 – Security forces again fire on mourners during 40‑day remembrance ceremonies in multiple cities, reinforcing the regime’s willingness to use lethal force against commemorations [2].

Feb 19, 2026 – A senior Trump adviser tells Axios there is a 90 percent chance of a U.S. strike within weeks, citing stalled nuclear talks; the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group moves into the region [29].

Feb 21, 2026 – Iranian university students march at Sharif University chanting “death to the dictator,” the first such slogans since the January crackdown; the U.S. deploys the USS Gerald R. Ford and three destroyers to the Mediterranean, creating a rare two‑carrier presence [30].

Feb 22, 2026 – Students at Sharif, Beheshti, Amir Kabir, and Mashhad universities resume large‑scale anti‑government protests, chanting against Supreme Leader Khamenei and honoring the thousands killed in the January crackdown [1][6].

Feb 22, 2026 – The United States builds a heightened military presence near Iran, with President Trump saying a decision on a limited strike will be known “over the next, probably, 10 days,” signaling an imminent policy choice [1].

Early Mar 2026 (expected) – Trump is slated to announce within ten days whether the U.S. will pursue a limited strike or a broader diplomatic deal, following the February buildup and the adviser’s warning of imminent action [1].

Mar 1, 2026 (expected) – The United States threatens to cut aid to Iraq if former Prime Minister Nouri al‑Maliki assumes office, setting a deadline that could affect regional dynamics amid the Iran crisis [29].

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